New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Trent Grisham CF
- 2 Aaron Judge RF
- 3 Cody Bellinger LF
- 4 Ben Rice 1B
- 5 Giancarlo Stanton DH
- 6 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
- 7 Ryan McMahon 3B
- 8 Austin Wells C
- 9 José Caballero SS
- 1 Brendan Donovan 3B
- 2 Rob Refsnyder DH
- 3 Julio Rodríguez CF
- 4 Josh Naylor 1B
- 5 Randy Arozarena LF
- 6 Mitch Garver C
- 7 Victor Robles RF
- 8 Leo Rivas SS
- 9 Cole Young 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| SEA | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.99 vs actual lineup 4.97
- Player execution −3.97 R/G Players fell 3.97 short of the lineup's 4.97 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −3.99 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Grisham 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.60 vs actual lineup 3.57
- Player execution −1.57 R/G Players fell 1.57 short of the lineup's 3.57 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.60 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Rodríguez 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 5.0 – 3.6 — actual was 1 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.