Detroit Tigers vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Kerry Carpenter RF
- 2 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 3 Colt Keith DH
- 4 Riley Greene LF
- 5 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 6 Kevin McGonigle 3B
- 7 Dillon Dingler C
- 8 Parker Meadows CF
- 9 Javier Báez SS
- 1 Ketel Marte 2B
- 2 Corbin Carroll RF
- 3 Geraldo Perdomo SS
- 4 Gabriel Moreno C
- 5 Nolan Arenado 3B
- 6 Alek Thomas CF
- 7 Carlos Santana 1B
- 8 Ildemaro Vargas DH
- 9 Jordan Lawlar LF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| AZ | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.25 vs actual lineup 3.17
- Player execution +2.83 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.17 projection by 2.83 (scored 6)
- Game variance +2.75 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.84 vs actual lineup 4.78
- Player execution +4.22 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.78 projection by 4.22 (scored 9)
- Game variance +4.16 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Vargas HR from the 8-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.3 – 4.8 — actual was 6 – 9.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.