Los Angeles Angels vs Chicago Cubs
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Zach Neto SS
- 2 Mike Trout CF
- 3 Nolan Schanuel 1B
- 4 Jorge Soler DH
- 5 Yoán Moncada 3B
- 6 Jo Adell RF
- 7 Josh Lowe LF
- 8 Logan O'Hoppe C
- 9 Oswald Peraza 2B
- 1 Michael Busch 1B
- 2 Alex Bregman 3B
- 3 Ian Happ LF
- 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF
- 5 Nico Hoerner 2B
- 6 Carson Kelly C
- 7 Moisés Ballesteros DH
- 8 Dansby Swanson SS
- 9 Michael Conforto RF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| CHC | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.47 vs actual lineup 3.45
- Player execution −1.45 R/G Players fell 1.45 short of the lineup's 3.45 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.47 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Trout 0-for-4 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.88 vs actual lineup 4.83
- Player execution +2.17 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.83 projection by 2.17 (scored 7)
- Game variance +2.12 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Busch 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.5 – 4.9 — actual was 2 – 7.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.