Kansas City Royals vs Atlanta Braves
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Maikel Garcia 3B
- 2 Bobby Witt SS
- 3 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B
- 4 Salvador Perez DH
- 5 Carter Jensen C
- 6 Lane Thomas LF
- 7 Jac Caglianone RF
- 8 Nick Loftin 2B
- 9 Kyle Isbel CF
- 1 Ronald Acuña RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin C
- 3 Matt Olson 1B
- 4 Austin Riley 3B
- 5 Mike Yastrzemski LF
- 6 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 7 Michael Harris CF
- 8 Dominic Smith DH
- 9 Jorge Mateo SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.10 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.05 vs actual lineup 3.95
- Player execution +0.05 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.95 projection by 0.05 (scored 4)
- Game variance −0.05 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Perez 0-for-4 batting 4th
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.22 vs actual lineup 3.17
- Player execution −2.17 R/G Players fell 2.17 short of the lineup's 3.17 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.22 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Jr. 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.0 – 3.2 — actual was 4 – 1.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.