Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jake McCarthy LF
- 2 Hunter Goodman DH
- 3 Willi Castro 2B
- 4 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 5 TJ Rumfield 1B
- 6 Jordan Beck RF
- 7 Brenton Doyle CF
- 8 Brett Sullivan C
- 9 Kyle Karros 3B
- 1 Austin Slater RF
- 2 Agustín Ramírez C
- 3 Jakob Marsee CF
- 4 Otto Lopez SS
- 5 Connor Norby DH
- 6 Heriberto Hernández LF
- 7 Xavier Edwards 2B
- 8 Deyvison De Los Santos 1B
- 9 Javier Sanoja 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| MIA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.46 vs actual lineup 3.40
- Player execution −0.40 R/G Players fell 0.40 short of the lineup's 3.40 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.46 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
McCarthy 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.46 vs actual lineup 4.42
- Player execution −0.42 R/G Players fell 0.42 short of the lineup's 4.42 projection (scored 4)
- Game variance −0.46 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Marsee 0-for-3 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 3.5 – 4.5 — actual was 3 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.