Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Kerry Carpenter DH
- 2 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 3 Colt Keith 3B
- 4 Riley Greene LF
- 5 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 6 Kevin McGonigle SS
- 7 Matt Vierling CF
- 8 Zach McKinstry RF
- 9 Jake Rogers C
- 1 Jake Cronenworth 2B
- 2 Fernando Tatis Jr. RF
- 3 Manny Machado 3B
- 4 Jackson Merrill CF
- 5 Xander Bogaerts SS
- 6 Gavin Sheets 1B
- 7 Ramón Laureano LF
- 8 Nick Castellanos DH
- 9 Freddy Fermin C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SD | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.25 vs actual lineup 3.18
- Player execution −3.18 R/G Players fell 3.18 short of the lineup's 3.18 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −3.25 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Torres 0-for-3 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.73 vs actual lineup 4.67
- Player execution −1.67 R/G Players fell 1.67 short of the lineup's 4.67 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.73 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Merrill 0-for-4 batting 4th
Optimal lineups projected 3.3 – 4.7 — actual was 0 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.