Washington Nationals vs Chicago Cubs
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 James Wood RF
- 2 Drew Millas C
- 3 Luis García 1B
- 4 Daylen Lile LF
- 5 Brady House 3B
- 6 Jorbit Vivas 2B
- 7 Nasim Nuñez SS
- 8 José Tena DH
- 9 Jacob Young CF
- 1 Michael Busch 1B
- 2 Alex Bregman 3B
- 3 Ian Happ LF
- 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF
- 5 Nico Hoerner 2B
- 6 Dansby Swanson SS
- 7 Moisés Ballesteros DH
- 8 Matt Shaw RF
- 9 Miguel Amaya C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| CHC | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.78 vs actual lineup 2.80
- Player execution −0.80 R/G Players fell 0.80 short of the lineup's 2.80 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −0.78 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Millas 0-for-3 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.12 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.84 vs actual lineup 4.72
- Player execution +5.28 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.72 projection by 5.28 (scored 10)
- Game variance +5.16 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Amaya HR from the 9-hole
Optimal lineups projected 2.8 – 4.8 — actual was 2 – 10.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.