Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Steven Kwan CF
- 2 Chase DeLauter DH
- 3 José Ramírez 3B
- 4 Kyle Manzardo 1B
- 5 David Fry C
- 6 Daniel Schneemann 2B
- 7 Angel Martínez LF
- 8 CJ Kayfus RF
- 9 Brayan Rocchio SS
- 1 Rob Refsnyder DH
- 2 Cal Raleigh C
- 3 Julio Rodríguez CF
- 4 Josh Naylor 1B
- 5 Randy Arozarena LF
- 6 Brendan Donovan 3B
- 7 Victor Robles RF
- 8 Leo Rivas SS
- 9 Cole Young 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| SEA | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.73 vs actual lineup 3.73
- Player execution +2.27 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.73 projection by 2.27 (scored 6)
- Game variance +2.27 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.24 vs actual lineup 3.18
- Player execution +1.82 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.18 projection by 1.82 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.76 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Raley HR from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.7 – 3.2 — actual was 6 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.