Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ketel Marte 2B
- 2 Corbin Carroll RF
- 3 Geraldo Perdomo SS
- 4 Pavin Smith DH
- 5 Nolan Arenado 3B
- 6 Alek Thomas CF
- 7 Carlos Santana 1B
- 8 James McCann C
- 9 Jorge Barrosa LF
- 1 Shohei Ohtani DH
- 2 Kyle Tucker RF
- 3 Mookie Betts SS
- 4 Will Smith C
- 5 Freddie Freeman 1B
- 6 Teoscar Hernández LF
- 7 Santiago Espinal 3B
- 8 Andy Pages CF
- 9 Miguel Rojas 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.18 vs actual lineup 3.16
- Player execution −1.16 R/G Players fell 1.16 short of the lineup's 3.16 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.18 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost −0.25 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.67 vs actual lineup 3.92
- Player execution −0.92 R/G Players fell 0.92 short of the lineup's 3.92 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.67 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Tucker 0-for-4 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 3.2 – 3.7 — actual was 2 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.