ARCHIVE March 28, 2026
March 28, 2026 · AL East

Oakland Athletics vs Toronto Blue Jays

March 28, 2026Rogers CentreRoof Closed 68°F · 0 mph, None
AWAY
Oakland Athletics
0-2
7
vs
HOME
Toronto Blue Jays
2-0
8

Starting pitchers

AWAY · ATH
Jeffrey Springs
Jeffrey Springs
IP 5.1
HOME · TOR
Dylan Cease
Dylan Cease
IP 5.1

Lineups

AWAY · ATH
  1. 1 Nick Kurtz 1B
  2. 2 Shea Langeliers C
  3. 3 Tyler Soderstrom LF
  4. 4 Brent Rooker DH
  5. 5 Jacob Wilson SS
  6. 6 Jeff McNeil 2B
  7. 7 Max Muncy 3B
  8. 8 Carlos Cortes RF
  9. 9 Denzel Clarke CF
HOME · TOR
  1. 1 George Springer DH
  2. 2 Davis Schneider LF
  3. 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
  4. 4 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
  5. 5 Alejandro Kirk C
  6. 6 Daulton Varsho CF
  7. 7 Ernie Clement 2B
  8. 8 Myles Straw RF
  9. 9 Andrés Giménez SS

Box score

  1234567891011 R
ATH 00000150010 7
TOR 00100112111 8

Manager comparison

Both managers grade C- / B entering this matchup.

AWAY · ATH
Mark Kotsay
C- Lineup 2.6 R Bunts 1.1 R IBBs 1.1 R
HOME · TOR
John Schneider
B Lineup 0.3 R Bunts 1.5 R IBBs 1.3 R

Recent form

AWAY · ATH
5-5 W2 -1 run diff
WWLLWLLWWL
HOME · TOR
5-5 W1 +8 run diff
WLLLLWWLWW

Tactical analysis

RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.

AWAY · Oakland Athletics
  • Manager lineup cost +0.08 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.59 vs actual lineup 3.51
  • Player execution +3.49 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.51 projection by 3.49 (scored 7)
  • Game variance +3.41 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation

Lineup spots out of order vs season production

HOME · Toronto Blue Jays
  • Manager lineup cost −0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.66 vs actual lineup 3.73
  • Player execution +4.27 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.73 projection by 4.27 (scored 8)
  • Game variance +4.34 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation

Giménez 4-for-5 from the 9-hole

COUNTERFACTUAL

Optimal lineups projected 3.6 – 3.7 — actual was 7 – 8.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.

Read the full methodology.