Kansas City Royals vs Atlanta Braves
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Maikel Garcia 3B
- 2 Bobby Witt SS
- 3 Lane Thomas CF
- 4 Salvador Perez C
- 5 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B
- 6 Starling Marte RF
- 7 Jonathan India 2B
- 8 Isaac Collins LF
- 9 Carter Jensen DH
- 1 Ronald Acuña RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin DH
- 3 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 4 Matt Olson 1B
- 5 Austin Riley 3B
- 6 Eli White LF
- 7 Mauricio Dubón SS
- 8 Jonah Heim C
- 9 Michael Harris CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| ATL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.72 vs actual lineup 2.80
- Player execution −2.80 R/G Players fell 2.80 short of the lineup's 2.80 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −2.72 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.45 vs actual lineup 4.44
- Player execution +1.56 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.44 projection by 1.56 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.55 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
II HR from the 9-hole
Optimal lineups projected 2.7 – 4.5 — actual was 0 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.