Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jake McCarthy LF
- 2 Hunter Goodman C
- 3 Willi Castro 2B
- 4 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 5 TJ Rumfield 1B
- 6 Jordan Beck RF
- 7 Brenton Doyle CF
- 8 Edouard Julien DH
- 9 Kyle Karros 3B
- 1 Austin Slater RF
- 2 Agustín Ramírez C
- 3 Jakob Marsee CF
- 4 Otto Lopez SS
- 5 Connor Norby 1B
- 6 Heriberto Hernández LF
- 7 Xavier Edwards 2B
- 8 Owen Caissie DH
- 9 Javier Sanoja 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| MIA | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.42 vs actual lineup 3.36
- Player execution −2.36 R/G Players fell 2.36 short of the lineup's 3.36 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.42 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Castro 0-for-4 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.50 vs actual lineup 3.52
- Player execution −1.52 R/G Players fell 1.52 short of the lineup's 3.52 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.50 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ramírez 0-for-3 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 3.4 – 3.5 — actual was 1 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.