Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ketel Marte 2B
- 2 Corbin Carroll RF
- 3 Geraldo Perdomo SS
- 4 Gabriel Moreno C
- 5 Pavin Smith DH
- 6 Nolan Arenado 3B
- 7 Carlos Santana 1B
- 8 Alek Thomas CF
- 9 Jordan Lawlar LF
- 1 Shohei Ohtani DH
- 2 Kyle Tucker RF
- 3 Mookie Betts SS
- 4 Freddie Freeman 1B
- 5 Will Smith C
- 6 Max Muncy 3B
- 7 Teoscar Hernández LF
- 8 Andy Pages CF
- 9 Alex Freeland 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.86 vs actual lineup 4.79
- Player execution −0.79 R/G Players fell 0.79 short of the lineup's 4.79 projection (scored 4)
- Game variance −0.86 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Carroll 0-for-4 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost −0.34 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 5.00 vs actual lineup 5.34
- Player execution −0.33 R/G Players fell 0.33 short of the lineup's 5.34 projection (scored 5)
- Game variance +0.00 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Freeland HR from the 9-hole
Optimal lineups projected 4.9 – 5.0 — actual was 4 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.