Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Kerry Carpenter RF
- 2 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 3 Colt Keith DH
- 4 Riley Greene LF
- 5 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 6 Kevin McGonigle 3B
- 7 Dillon Dingler C
- 8 Parker Meadows CF
- 9 Javier Báez SS
- 1 Fernando Tatis RF
- 2 Xander Bogaerts SS
- 3 Manny Machado 3B
- 4 Jackson Merrill CF
- 5 Miguel Andujar DH
- 6 Gavin Sheets 1B
- 7 Ramón Laureano LF
- 8 Freddy Fermin C
- 9 Jake Cronenworth 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| SD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.14 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.15 vs actual lineup 4.01
- Player execution +3.99 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.01 projection by 3.99 (scored 8)
- Game variance +3.85 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Dingler HR from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.07 vs actual lineup 3.10
- Player execution −1.10 R/G Players fell 1.10 short of the lineup's 3.10 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.07 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Laureano HR from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 4.2 – 3.1 — actual was 8 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.