Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Steven Kwan LF
- 2 Chase DeLauter RF
- 3 José Ramírez 3B
- 4 Kyle Manzardo DH
- 5 Bo Naylor C
- 6 Rhys Hoskins 1B
- 7 Daniel Schneemann CF
- 8 Gabriel Arias SS
- 9 Brayan Rocchio 2B
- 1 Brendan Donovan 3B
- 2 Cal Raleigh C
- 3 Julio Rodríguez CF
- 4 Josh Naylor 1B
- 5 Randy Arozarena LF
- 6 Luke Raley RF
- 7 Dominic Canzone DH
- 8 Cole Young 2B
- 9 Leo Rivas SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| SEA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.98 vs actual lineup 3.99
- Player execution +2.01 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.99 projection by 2.01 (scored 6)
- Game variance +2.02 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Kwan 0-for-5 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.12 vs actual lineup 4.12
- Player execution −0.12 R/G Players fell 0.12 short of the lineup's 4.12 projection (scored 4)
- Game variance −0.12 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Canzone HR from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 4.0 – 4.1 — actual was 6 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.