PLAYER · 2026-06-15
Matt Shaw
Cubs · RF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limited data | Hits 0.5 | 66% | +1.0pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | |
|
Recent form
Shaw .105 over last 14 games (.245 season — slumping)
Quality flags
Salary
DK $2,200
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Limited data | Total Bases 0.5 | 62% | -8.1pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 | |
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Quality flags
Salary
DK $2,200
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Limited data | Total Bases 1.5 | 43% | +12.6pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | |
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Quality flags
Salary
DK $2,200
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Limited data | Hits 1.5 | 31% | +0.7pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | |
|
Recent form
Shaw .105 over last 14 games (.245 season — slumping)
Quality flags
Salary
DK $2,200
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Limited data | Total Bases 2.5 | 26% | -3.9pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | |
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Quality flags
Salary
DK $2,200
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Limited data | Total Bases 3.5 | 21% | -9.5pp | low | PrizePicks 3.5 | |
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Quality flags
Salary
DK $2,200
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Limited data | HR 0.5 | 14% | -8.5pp | low | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | |
|
Recent form
Shaw 0 HR in last 14 games (0.0% PA vs 2.9% season — pop quiet)
Quality flags
Salary
DK $2,200
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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