PLAYER · 2026-08-09
Rafael Flores Jr.
Pirates · C — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limited data | Hits 0.5 | 65% | -5.2pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 | |
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Quality flags
Salary
DK $3,100
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Limited data | Total Bases 1.5 | 47% | +17.5pp | medium | PrizePicks 1.5 | |
|
Recent form
Jr. .829 SLG over last 11 (.409 season — slugging)
Quality flags
Salary
DK $3,100
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Limited data | Hits 1.5 | 26% | -3.7pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | |
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Quality flags
Salary
DK $3,100
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Limited data | Total Bases 2.5 | 21% | -9.0pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | |
|
Recent form
Jr. .829 SLG over last 11 (.409 season — slugging)
Quality flags
Salary
DK $3,100
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Limited data | HR 0.5 | 13% | -16.5pp | low | PrizePicks 0.5 | |
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Quality flags
Salary
DK $3,100
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Limited data | Total Bases 3.5 | 12% | -17.7pp | low | PrizePicks 3.5 | |
|
Recent form
Jr. .829 SLG over last 11 (.409 season — slugging)
Quality flags
Salary
DK $3,100
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Limited data | Total Bases 4.5 | 12% | -17.8pp | low | PrizePicks 4.5 | |
|
Recent form
Jr. .829 SLG over last 11 (.409 season — slugging)
Quality flags
Salary
DK $3,100
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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