PLAYER · 2026-07-30
Nathan Church
Cardinals · CF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits 0.5 | 63% | +12.4pp | high | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Church .114 over last 14 games (.222 season — slumping)
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| HR 0.5 | 14% | +3.5pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Church 0 HR in last 14 games (0.0% PA vs 2.8% season — pop quiet)
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