PLAYER · 2026-09-14
Nathan Church
Cardinals · CF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits 0.5 | 62% | +4.9pp | high | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Church .340 over last 14 games (.254 season — hot)
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| Total Bases 0.5 | 51% | -10.0pp | medium | Underdog 0.5 | ||
| HR 0.5 | 7% | -2.2pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Church 0 HR in last 14 games (0.0% PA vs 2.4% season — pop quiet)
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