PLAYER · 2026-06-15
Jackson Merrill
Padres · CF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits 0.5 | 59% | -7.7pp | medium | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 0.5 | 48% | -21.9pp | medium | PrizePicks 0.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 28% | -7.2pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Hits 1.5 | 21% | -9.1pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 2.5 | 19% | -11.3pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 3.5 | 14% | -15.7pp | low | PrizePicks 3.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 4.5 | 12% | -17.7pp | low | PrizePicks 4.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| HR 0.5 | 8% | -14.4pp | low | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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