PLAYER · 2026-07-30
Jackson Merrill
Padres · CF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits 0.5 | 59% | -4.3pp | medium | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Merrill .340 over last 14 games (.237 season — hot)
Salary
DK $4,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 27% | -12.0pp | low | Underdog 1.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| HR 0.5 | 13% | -2.5pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Merrill 5 HR in last 14 games (9.3% PA vs 3.4% season — pop spiking)
Salary
DK $4,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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