PLAYER · 2026-07-30

Alejandro Osuna

Rangers · LF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

		Market	Hit %	Edge	Conf	Books
	Limited data	Hits 0.5	48%	-3.6pp	medium	Underdog 0.5
Recent form Osuna .300 over last 14 games (.258 season — hot) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.
	Limited data	HR 0.5	5%	-0.8pp	low	Underdog 0.5
Recent form Osuna 1 HR in last 14 games (2.9% PA vs 0.5% season — pop spiking) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.