PLAYER · 2026-06-16

Edwin Arroyo

Reds · 2B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

		Market	Hit %	Edge	Conf	Books
	Limited data	Hits 0.5	66%	-0.6pp	high	PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Small sample. Limited 2026 MLB sample — projection weighted heavily on prior seasons / minor-league data. Salary DK $2,200 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Total Bases 0.5	62%	-8.1pp	high	PrizePicks 0.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Small sample. Limited 2026 MLB sample — projection weighted heavily on prior seasons / minor-league data. Salary DK $2,200 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Total Bases 1.5	62%	+31.9pp	high	PrizePicks 1.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Small sample. Limited 2026 MLB sample — projection weighted heavily on prior seasons / minor-league data. Salary DK $2,200 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Total Bases 2.5	42%	+11.9pp	low	PrizePicks 2.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Small sample. Limited 2026 MLB sample — projection weighted heavily on prior seasons / minor-league data. Salary DK $2,200 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Hits 1.5	35%	+5.0pp	low	PrizePicks 1.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Small sample. Limited 2026 MLB sample — projection weighted heavily on prior seasons / minor-league data. Salary DK $2,200 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Total Bases 3.5	18%	-12.1pp	low	PrizePicks 3.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Small sample. Limited 2026 MLB sample — projection weighted heavily on prior seasons / minor-league data. Salary DK $2,200 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	HR 0.5	16%	-5.0pp	low	PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Small sample. Limited 2026 MLB sample — projection weighted heavily on prior seasons / minor-league data. Salary DK $2,200 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Total Bases 5.5	12%	-17.8pp	low	PrizePicks 5.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Small sample. Limited 2026 MLB sample — projection weighted heavily on prior seasons / minor-league data. Salary DK $2,200 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Hits 2.5	12%	-18.0pp	low	PrizePicks 2.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Small sample. Limited 2026 MLB sample — projection weighted heavily on prior seasons / minor-league data. Salary DK $2,200 Play on DraftKings DFS →