PLAYER · 2026-06-30

Brandon Pfaadt

Diamondbacks · SP — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

		Market	Hit %	Edge	Conf	Books
	Limited data	Strikeouts 2.5	70%	+6.5pp	high	Underdog 2.5
Manager context Lovullo averages 64 pitches before pulling Pfaadt (6 starts, 1 over 100); SF 19.6% K-rate vs RHP Quality flags Short-outing role. Reliever / opener / swingman — averages under 3 IP per appearance. Model treats them as starters unless gated; predictions historically inflate ~3-5× the realistic K count. Salary DK $6,300 Play on DraftKings DFS →