PLAYER · 2026-06-16

Nick Gonzales

Pirates · 3B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

Market Hit % Edge Conf Books
Model Pick Hits 0.5 66% -4.5pp high PrizePicks 0.5
Total Bases 0.5 62% -8.1pp high PrizePicks 0.5
Total Bases 1.5 41% +3.5pp low PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5
Hits 1.5 28% -4.2pp low PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5
Total Bases 2.5 19% -11.0pp low PrizePicks 2.5
Total Bases 3.5 13% -17.5pp low PrizePicks 3.5
Total Bases 4.5 12% -17.8pp low PrizePicks 4.5
Hits 2.5 10% -20.3pp low PrizePicks 2.5
HR 0.5 5% -15.8pp low PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5