PLAYER · 2026-07-31
Nick Gonzales
Pirates · 3B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model Pick | Hits 0.5 | 66% | +0.7pp | high | Underdog 0.5 | |
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Recent form
Gonzales .371 over last 14 games (.316 season — hot)
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 42% | +4.9pp | low | Underdog 1.5 | ||
| HR 0.5 | 10% | -4.2pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Gonzales 2 HR in last 14 games (3.2% PA vs 1.4% season — pop spiking)
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