PLAYER · 2026-09-14
Colt Keith
Tigers · 3B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits 0.5 | 62% | +4.6pp | high | Underdog 0.5 | ||
|
Manager context
Hinch rests LHB vs RHP in 7% of starts (2nd pct); Keith started 100% vs RHP last 30 days
Recent form
Keith .182 over last 14 games (.257 season — slumping)
|
||||||
| Total Bases 0.5 | 53% | -6.8pp | medium | Underdog 0.5 | ||
|
Manager context
Hinch rests LHB vs RHP in 7% of starts (2nd pct); Keith started 100% vs RHP last 30 days
|
||||||
| HR 0.5 | 10% | +2.0pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
|
Manager context
Hinch rests LHB vs RHP in 7% of starts (2nd pct); Keith started 100% vs RHP last 30 days
|
||||||