PLAYER · 2026-07-30
Drake Baldwin
Braves · C — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Bases 1.5 | 42% | -5.9pp | low | Underdog 1.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $5,300
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Hits 1.5 | 28% | -6.7pp | low | Underdog 1.5 | ||
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Recent form
Baldwin .407 over last 14 games (.279 season — hot)
Salary
DK $5,300
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| HR 0.5 | 16% | -10.0pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Baldwin 5 HR in last 14 games (7.8% PA vs 5.3% season — pop spiking)
Salary
DK $5,300
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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