PLAYER · 2026-09-14
Brett Baty
Mets · 3B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits 0.5 | 63% | +10.6pp | high | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
Green rests LHB vs RHP in 19% of starts (93rd pct); Baty started 95% vs RHP last 30 days, batting 8th in tonight's posted lineup
Recent form
Baty .364 over last 14 games (.229 season — hot)
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| Total Bases 0.5 | 54% | +0.7pp | medium | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
Green rests LHB vs RHP in 19% of starts (93rd pct); Baty started 95% vs RHP last 30 days, batting 8th in tonight's posted lineup
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| HR 0.5 | 11% | -3.5pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
Green rests LHB vs RHP in 19% of starts (93rd pct); Baty started 95% vs RHP last 30 days, batting 8th in tonight's posted lineup
Recent form
Baty 2 HR in last 14 games (5.6% PA vs 2.3% season — pop spiking)
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