PLAYER · 2026-09-14
Riley Greene
Tigers · LF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model Pick | Hits 0.5 | 64% | +3.7pp | high | Underdog 0.5 | |
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Manager context
Hinch rests LHB vs RHP in 7% of starts (2nd pct); Greene started 100% vs RHP last 30 days
Recent form
Greene .340 over last 14 games (.283 season — hot)
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 41% | +2.8pp | low | Underdog 1.5 | ||
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Manager context
Hinch rests LHB vs RHP in 7% of starts (2nd pct); Greene started 100% vs RHP last 30 days
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| HR 0.5 | 13% | -1.1pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
Hinch rests LHB vs RHP in 7% of starts (2nd pct); Greene started 100% vs RHP last 30 days
Recent form
Greene 4 HR in last 14 games (7.0% PA vs 3.8% season — pop spiking)
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