PLAYER · 2026-06-15

Noelvi Marte

Reds · RF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

		Market	Hit %	Edge	Conf	Books
	Limited data	Hits 0.5	65%	-1.6pp	high	PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $2,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Total Bases 0.5	59%	-11.3pp	medium	PrizePicks 0.5
Recent form Marte .226 SLG over last 14 (.386 season — flattening) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $2,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Total Bases 1.5	42%	+7.8pp	low	PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5
Recent form Marte .226 SLG over last 14 (.386 season — flattening) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $2,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Total Bases 2.5	35%	+5.5pp	low	PrizePicks 2.5
Recent form Marte .226 SLG over last 14 (.386 season — flattening) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $2,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Total Bases 3.5	31%	+1.2pp	low	PrizePicks 3.5
Recent form Marte .226 SLG over last 14 (.386 season — flattening) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $2,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Hits 1.5	26%	-4.0pp	low	PrizePicks 1.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $2,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	HR 0.5	16%	-7.4pp	low	PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5
Recent form Marte 3 HR in last 14 games (7.0% PA vs 4.9% season — pop spiking) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $2,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →