PLAYER · 2026-06-15

James Outman

Tigers · CF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

		Market	Hit %	Edge	Conf	Books
	Limited data	Total Bases 0.5	37%	+6.9pp	low	PrizePicks 0.5
Manager context Hinch rests LHB vs RHP in 7% of starts (2nd pct); Outman started 29% vs RHP last 30 days, batting 9th in tonight's posted lineup Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $2,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Hits 0.5	33%	-3.5pp	low	PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5
Manager context Hinch rests LHB vs RHP in 7% of starts (2nd pct); Outman started 29% vs RHP last 30 days, batting 9th in tonight's posted lineup Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $2,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Total Bases 1.5	22%	-8.3pp	low	PrizePicks 1.5
Manager context Hinch rests LHB vs RHP in 7% of starts (2nd pct); Outman started 29% vs RHP last 30 days, batting 9th in tonight's posted lineup Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $2,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Total Bases 2.5	16%	-14.0pp	low	PrizePicks 2.5
Manager context Hinch rests LHB vs RHP in 7% of starts (2nd pct); Outman started 29% vs RHP last 30 days, batting 9th in tonight's posted lineup Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $2,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Total Bases 3.5	13%	-17.4pp	low	PrizePicks 3.5
Manager context Hinch rests LHB vs RHP in 7% of starts (2nd pct); Outman started 29% vs RHP last 30 days, batting 9th in tonight's posted lineup Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $2,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Hits 1.5	10%	-20.3pp	low	PrizePicks 1.5
Manager context Hinch rests LHB vs RHP in 7% of starts (2nd pct); Outman started 29% vs RHP last 30 days, batting 9th in tonight's posted lineup Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $2,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	HR 0.5	7%	-14.8pp	low	PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5
Manager context Hinch rests LHB vs RHP in 7% of starts (2nd pct); Outman started 29% vs RHP last 30 days, batting 9th in tonight's posted lineup Recent form Outman 1 HR in last 14 games (5.3% PA vs 1.4% season — pop spiking) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $2,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →