PLAYER · 2026-06-16
Kerry Carpenter
Tigers · RF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits 0.5 | 63% | +7.0pp | high | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Carpenter .297 over last 14 games (.234 season — hot)
Salary
DK $4,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 0.5 | 54% | -15.6pp | medium | PrizePicks 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 41% | +11.3pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 2.5 | 29% | -1.3pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 3.5 | 24% | -6.2pp | low | PrizePicks 3.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Hits 1.5 | 23% | -6.5pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | ||
|
Recent form
Carpenter .297 over last 14 games (.234 season — hot)
Salary
DK $4,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| HR 0.5 | 16% | -7.9pp | low | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Carpenter 3 HR in last 14 games (7.7% PA vs 6.0% season — pop spiking)
Salary
DK $4,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 5.5 | 13% | -17.4pp | low | PrizePicks 5.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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