PLAYER · 2026-09-14
Ryan Jeffers
Twins · C — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits 0.5 | 62% | +1.4pp | high | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
Shelton rests RHB vs RHP in 36% of starts (95th pct); Jeffers started 47% vs RHP last 30 days
Recent form
Jeffers .216 over last 14 games (.266 season — slumping)
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| Total Bases 0.5 | 51% | -10.9pp | medium | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
Shelton rests RHB vs RHP in 36% of starts (95th pct); Jeffers started 47% vs RHP last 30 days
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| HR 0.5 | 15% | +1.2pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
Shelton rests RHB vs RHP in 36% of starts (95th pct); Jeffers started 47% vs RHP last 30 days
Recent form
Jeffers 4 HR in last 14 games (7.3% PA vs 4.3% season — pop spiking)
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