PLAYER · 2026-07-30
Miguel Vargas
White Sox · 3B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model Pick | Hits 0.5 | 64% | -1.0pp | high | Underdog 0.5 | |
| Total Bases 1.5 | 42% | -1.6pp | low | Underdog 1.5 | ||
| HR 0.5 | 16% | -3.5pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Vargas 1 HR in last 14 games (1.6% PA vs 4.8% season — pop quiet)
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