PLAYER · 2026-06-15
Alec Burleson
Cardinals · 1B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model Pick | Hits 0.5 | 65% | -4.7pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | |
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 0.5 | 59% | -11.2pp | medium | PrizePicks 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 42% | +3.7pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Hits 1.5 | 26% | -4.4pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 2.5 | 22% | -7.8pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 3.5 | 19% | -11.2pp | low | PrizePicks 3.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| HR 0.5 | 13% | -12.5pp | low | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Burleson 6 HR in last 14 games (10.0% PA vs 4.4% season — pop spiking)
Salary
DK $4,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 4.5 | 13% | -16.7pp | low | PrizePicks 4.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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