PLAYER · 2026-07-30
Alec Burleson
Cardinals · 1B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model Pick | Hits 0.5 | 66% | +3.4pp | high | Underdog 0.5 | |
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Recent form
Burleson .339 over last 14 games (.282 season — hot)
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 42% | +3.0pp | low | Underdog 1.5 | ||
| HR 0.5 | 15% | -4.9pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Burleson 0 HR in last 14 games (0.0% PA vs 3.3% season — pop quiet)
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