PLAYER · 2026-06-16

Yainer Diaz

Astros · C — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

	Market	Hit %	Edge	Conf	Books
	Hits 0.5	64%	-4.0pp	high	PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Salary DK $3,300 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Total Bases 0.5	57%	-13.3pp	medium	PrizePicks 0.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Salary DK $3,300 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Total Bases 1.5	37%	+3.1pp	low	PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Salary DK $3,300 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Hits 1.5	25%	-6.4pp	low	PrizePicks 1.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Salary DK $3,300 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Total Bases 2.5	20%	-10.4pp	low	PrizePicks 2.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Salary DK $3,300 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Total Bases 3.5	16%	-14.4pp	low	PrizePicks 3.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Salary DK $3,300 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Total Bases 5.5	12%	-17.8pp	low	PrizePicks 5.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Salary DK $3,300 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Hits 2.5	10%	-20.3pp	low	PrizePicks 2.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Salary DK $3,300 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	HR 0.5	9%	-12.3pp	low	PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Salary DK $3,300 Play on DraftKings DFS →