PLAYER · 2026-06-16

Yordan Alvarez

Astros · DH — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

Market Hit % Edge Conf Books
Model Pick Hits 0.5 64% -5.3pp high PrizePicks 0.5
Total Bases 0.5 57% -12.6pp medium PrizePicks 0.5
Total Bases 1.5 42% +4.1pp low PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5
Total Bases 2.5 25% -5.1pp low PrizePicks 2.5
Hits 1.5 24% -6.6pp low PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5
Total Bases 3.5 22% -7.8pp low PrizePicks 3.5
HR 0.5 16% -10.1pp low PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5
Total Bases 5.5 13% -17.5pp low PrizePicks 5.5
Hits 2.5 10% -20.3pp low PrizePicks 2.5