PLAYER · 2026-09-14
Josh Smith
Blue Jays · 2B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits 0.5 | 61% | +7.1pp | high | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Smith .286 over last 14 games (.227 season — hot)
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| Total Bases 0.5 | 49% | -3.6pp | medium | Underdog 0.5 | ||
| HR 0.5 | 13% | +5.1pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Smith 4 HR in last 14 games (12.1% PA vs 2.9% season — pop spiking)
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