PLAYER · 2026-09-15

Chris Murphy

White Sox · SP — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

		Market	Hit %	Edge	Conf	Books
	Limited data	Strikeouts 0.5	65%	+0.1pp	high	Underdog 0.5
Recent form Murphy 11.6 K/9 in last 14 starts (9.6 season — missing more bats) Quality flags Short-outing role. Reliever / opener / swingman — averages under 3 IP per appearance. Model treats them as starters unless gated; predictions historically inflate ~3-5× the realistic K count.