PLAYER · 2026-09-19
Sean Murphy
Braves · C — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Bases 0.5 | 37% | -9.4pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
| Hits 0.5 | 33% | -12.0pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
|
Recent form
Murphy .224 over last 14 games (.183 season — hot)
|
||||||
| HR 0.5 | 10% | -6.1pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
|
Recent form
Murphy 3 HR in last 14 games (5.5% PA vs 3.0% season — pop spiking)
|
||||||