PLAYER · 2026-09-14

Ryan Kreidler

Twins · SS — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

		Market	Hit %	Edge	Conf	Books
	Limited data	Hits 0.5	63%	+13.2pp	high	Underdog 0.5
Manager context Shelton rests RHB vs RHP in 36% of starts (95th pct); Kreidler started 0% vs RHP last 30 days Recent form Kreidler .105 over last 14 games (.217 season — slumping) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.
	Limited data	Total Bases 0.5	53%	+3.8pp	medium	Underdog 0.5
Manager context Shelton rests RHB vs RHP in 36% of starts (95th pct); Kreidler started 0% vs RHP last 30 days Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.
	Limited data	HR 0.5	13%	+4.8pp	low	Underdog 0.5
Manager context Shelton rests RHB vs RHP in 36% of starts (95th pct); Kreidler started 0% vs RHP last 30 days Recent form Kreidler 1 HR in last 14 games (4.5% PA vs 2.5% season — pop spiking) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.