PLAYER · 2026-06-16
Spencer Steer
Reds · LF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model Pick | Hits 0.5 | 66% | -0.8pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | |
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Recent form
Steer .167 over last 14 games (.248 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $4,300
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 0.5 | 62% | -8.1pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,300
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 47% | +12.9pp | medium | PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,300
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 2.5 | 40% | +9.8pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,300
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Hits 1.5 | 37% | +7.2pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | ||
|
Recent form
Steer .167 over last 14 games (.248 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $4,300
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 3.5 | 26% | -3.6pp | low | PrizePicks 3.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,300
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 4.5 | 20% | -10.1pp | low | PrizePicks 4.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,300
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| HR 0.5 | 16% | -8.7pp | low | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Steer 3 HR in last 14 games (5.9% PA vs 3.8% season — pop spiking)
Salary
DK $4,300
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Hits 2.5 | 13% | -16.7pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
|
Recent form
Steer .167 over last 14 games (.248 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $4,300
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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