PLAYER · 2026-06-16
JJ Bleday
Reds · LF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model Pick | Hits 0.5 | 66% | +0.1pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | |
|
Recent form
Bleday .228 over last 14 games (.272 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $5,300
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 0.5 | 62% | -8.1pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $5,300
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 46% | +10.7pp | medium | PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $5,300
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 2.5 | 42% | +11.5pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $5,300
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 3.5 | 38% | +7.8pp | low | PrizePicks 3.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $5,300
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Hits 1.5 | 27% | -3.0pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | ||
|
Recent form
Bleday .228 over last 14 games (.272 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $5,300
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 5.5 | 17% | -13.1pp | low | PrizePicks 5.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $5,300
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| HR 0.5 | 16% | -10.4pp | low | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $5,300
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Hits 2.5 | 10% | -20.3pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
|
Recent form
Bleday .228 over last 14 games (.272 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $5,300
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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