PLAYER · 2026-09-15
Mickey Moniak
Rockies · LF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model Pick | Hits 0.5 | 65% | +1.8pp | high | Underdog 0.5 | |
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Manager context
Schaeffer rests LHB vs RHP in 24% of starts (102nd pct); Moniak started 96% vs RHP last 30 days
Recent form
Moniak .163 over last 14 games (.241 season — slumping)
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| Total Bases 0.5 | 61% | +0.6pp | high | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
Schaeffer rests LHB vs RHP in 24% of starts (102nd pct); Moniak started 96% vs RHP last 30 days
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| HR 0.5 | 16% | -1.7pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
Schaeffer rests LHB vs RHP in 24% of starts (102nd pct); Moniak started 96% vs RHP last 30 days
Recent form
Moniak 1 HR in last 14 games (2.0% PA vs 5.5% season — pop quiet)
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