PLAYER · 2026-06-16
Jonathan Aranda
Rays · 1B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits 0.5 | 54% | -12.7pp | medium | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Aranda .226 over last 14 games (.276 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $4,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 0.5 | 45% | -25.4pp | low | PrizePicks 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 23% | -11.3pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 2.5 | 18% | -12.3pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Hits 1.5 | 16% | -13.9pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | ||
|
Recent form
Aranda .226 over last 14 games (.276 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $4,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 3.5 | 14% | -15.6pp | low | PrizePicks 3.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 4.5 | 12% | -17.7pp | low | PrizePicks 4.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| HR 0.5 | 12% | -11.5pp | low | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Aranda 1 HR in last 14 games (1.6% PA vs 3.8% season — pop quiet)
Salary
DK $4,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Hits 2.5 | 10% | -20.3pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
|
Recent form
Aranda .226 over last 14 games (.276 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $4,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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