PLAYER · 2026-06-16

Esteury Ruiz

Marlins · RF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

		Market	Hit %	Edge	Conf	Books
	Limited data	Hits 0.5	62%	+13.1pp	high	PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5
Recent form Ruiz .278 over last 14 games (.220 season — hot) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.
	Limited data	Total Bases 0.5	53%	-17.4pp	medium	PrizePicks 0.5
Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.
	Limited data	Total Bases 1.5	42%	+12.4pp	low	PrizePicks 1.5
Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.
	Limited data	Total Bases 2.5	27%	-3.2pp	low	PrizePicks 2.5
Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.
	Limited data	Hits 1.5	23%	-7.3pp	low	PrizePicks 1.5
Recent form Ruiz .278 over last 14 games (.220 season — hot) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.
	Limited data	Total Bases 3.5	21%	-8.6pp	low	PrizePicks 3.5
Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.
	Limited data	Total Bases 4.5	16%	-13.9pp	low	PrizePicks 4.5
Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.
	Limited data	HR 0.5	14%	-6.4pp	low	PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5
Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.