PLAYER · 2026-07-31

Miguel Amaya

Cubs · C — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

		Market	Hit %	Edge	Conf	Books
	Limited data	Hits 0.5	64%	+9.9pp	high	Underdog 0.5
Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.
	Limited data	HR 0.5	10%	-4.5pp	low	Underdog 0.5
Recent form Amaya 0 HR in last 14 games (0.0% PA vs 1.8% season — pop quiet) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.