PLAYER · 2026-06-16

Edward Cabrera

Cubs · SP — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

		Market	Hit %	Edge	Conf	Books
	Model Pick	Strikeouts 3.5	70%	+0.5pp	high	PrizePicks 3.5
Manager context Counsell averages 80 pitches before pulling Cabrera (16 starts, 0 over 100); COL 22.6% K-rate vs RHP Salary DK $8,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
		Strikeouts 4.5	55%	-15.0pp	medium	PrizePicks 4.5
Manager context Counsell averages 80 pitches before pulling Cabrera (16 starts, 0 over 100); COL 22.6% K-rate vs RHP Salary DK $8,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
		Strikeouts 5.5	35%	-3.4pp	low	PrizePicks 5.5 Underdog 5.5
Manager context Counsell averages 80 pitches before pulling Cabrera (16 starts, 0 over 100); COL 22.6% K-rate vs RHP Salary DK $8,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
		Strikeouts 6.5	25%	-5.1pp	low	PrizePicks 6.5
Manager context Counsell averages 80 pitches before pulling Cabrera (16 starts, 0 over 100); COL 22.6% K-rate vs RHP Salary DK $8,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
		Strikeouts 7.5	14%	-15.8pp	low	PrizePicks 7.5
Manager context Counsell averages 80 pitches before pulling Cabrera (16 starts, 0 over 100); COL 22.6% K-rate vs RHP Salary DK $8,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
		Strikeouts 8.5	13%	-17.5pp	low	PrizePicks 8.5
Manager context Counsell averages 80 pitches before pulling Cabrera (16 starts, 0 over 100); COL 22.6% K-rate vs RHP Salary DK $8,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →