PLAYER · 2026-09-14
Juan Soto
Mets · LF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model Pick | Hits 0.5 | 65% | +3.1pp | high | Underdog 0.5 | |
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Manager context
Green rests LHB vs RHP in 19% of starts (93rd pct); Soto started 43% vs RHP last 30 days, batting 2nd in tonight's posted lineup
Recent form
Soto .214 over last 14 games (.272 season — slumping)
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 42% | -2.0pp | low | Underdog 1.5 | ||
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Manager context
Green rests LHB vs RHP in 19% of starts (93rd pct); Soto started 43% vs RHP last 30 days, batting 2nd in tonight's posted lineup
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| HR 0.5 | 16% | -7.0pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
Green rests LHB vs RHP in 19% of starts (93rd pct); Soto started 43% vs RHP last 30 days, batting 2nd in tonight's posted lineup
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