PLAYER · 2026-06-16
Juan Soto
Mets · LF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model Pick | Hits 0.5 | 66% | -3.3pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | |
|
Manager context
Mendoza rests LHB vs RHP in 19% of starts (93rd pct); Soto started 43% vs RHP last 30 days
Salary
DK $5,800
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 0.5 | 62% | -8.1pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 | ||
|
Manager context
Mendoza rests LHB vs RHP in 19% of starts (93rd pct); Soto started 43% vs RHP last 30 days
Salary
DK $5,800
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 45% | -5.1pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5 | ||
|
Manager context
Mendoza rests LHB vs RHP in 19% of starts (93rd pct); Soto started 43% vs RHP last 30 days
Salary
DK $5,800
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 2.5 | 41% | +11.2pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
|
Manager context
Mendoza rests LHB vs RHP in 19% of starts (93rd pct); Soto started 43% vs RHP last 30 days
Salary
DK $5,800
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 3.5 | 35% | +5.0pp | low | PrizePicks 3.5 | ||
|
Manager context
Mendoza rests LHB vs RHP in 19% of starts (93rd pct); Soto started 43% vs RHP last 30 days
Salary
DK $5,800
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Hits 1.5 | 31% | +1.3pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | ||
|
Manager context
Mendoza rests LHB vs RHP in 19% of starts (93rd pct); Soto started 43% vs RHP last 30 days
Salary
DK $5,800
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 4.5 | 21% | -9.3pp | low | PrizePicks 4.5 | ||
|
Manager context
Mendoza rests LHB vs RHP in 19% of starts (93rd pct); Soto started 43% vs RHP last 30 days
Salary
DK $5,800
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| HR 0.5 | 16% | -15.5pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
|
Manager context
Mendoza rests LHB vs RHP in 19% of starts (93rd pct); Soto started 43% vs RHP last 30 days
Salary
DK $5,800
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 7.5 | 12% | -17.5pp | low | PrizePicks 7.5 | ||
|
Manager context
Mendoza rests LHB vs RHP in 19% of starts (93rd pct); Soto started 43% vs RHP last 30 days
Salary
DK $5,800
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| HR 1.5 | 10% | -19.9pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | ||
|
Manager context
Mendoza rests LHB vs RHP in 19% of starts (93rd pct); Soto started 43% vs RHP last 30 days
Salary
DK $5,800
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Hits 2.5 | 10% | -20.3pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
|
Manager context
Mendoza rests LHB vs RHP in 19% of starts (93rd pct); Soto started 43% vs RHP last 30 days
Salary
DK $5,800
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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