PLAYER · 2026-06-15
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Padres · RF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model Pick | Hits 0.5 | 65% | -4.6pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 | |
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 0.5 | 61% | -9.0pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 38% | +0.7pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Hits 1.5 | 27% | -5.2pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 2.5 | 19% | -11.2pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 3.5 | 13% | -17.4pp | low | PrizePicks 3.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 4.5 | 12% | -17.8pp | low | PrizePicks 4.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Hits 2.5 | 10% | -20.3pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| HR 0.5 | 5% | -16.7pp | low | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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