PLAYER · 2026-09-14
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Padres · RF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits 1.5 | 48% | -1.6pp | medium | Underdog 1.5 | ||
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Recent form
Jr. .333 over last 14 games (.289 season — hot)
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| Total Bases 2.5 | 41% | -4.9pp | low | Underdog 2.5 | ||
| HR 0.5 | 16% | -11.5pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Jr. 4 HR in last 14 games (6.3% PA vs 3.3% season — pop spiking)
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