PLAYER · 2026-06-16
Nathaniel Lowe
Reds · DH — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model Pick | Hits 0.5 | 65% | +0.0pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | |
|
Recent form
Lowe .200 over last 14 games (.257 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $3,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 0.5 | 61% | -9.2pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 43% | +12.6pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 2.5 | 34% | +4.4pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Hits 1.5 | 26% | -3.9pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | ||
|
Recent form
Lowe .200 over last 14 games (.257 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $3,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 3.5 | 26% | -4.3pp | low | PrizePicks 3.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 4.5 | 19% | -11.2pp | low | PrizePicks 4.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| HR 0.5 | 16% | -8.7pp | low | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | ||
|
Recent form
Lowe 1 HR in last 14 games (2.4% PA vs 5.2% season — pop quiet)
Salary
DK $3,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Hits 2.5 | 10% | -20.3pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
|
Recent form
Lowe .200 over last 14 games (.257 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $3,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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