PLAYER · 2026-06-16

Jake Mangum

Pirates · LF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

		Market	Hit %	Edge	Conf	Books
	Limited data	Hits 0.5	66%	-3.5pp	high	PrizePicks 0.5
Recent form Mangum .413 over last 14 games (.301 season — hot) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $3,700 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Total Bases 0.5	62%	-8.1pp	high	PrizePicks 0.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $3,700 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Total Bases 1.5	41%	+6.0pp	low	PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $3,700 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Hits 1.5	31%	+0.4pp	low	PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5
Recent form Mangum .413 over last 14 games (.301 season — hot) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $3,700 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Total Bases 2.5	19%	-11.0pp	low	PrizePicks 2.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $3,700 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Total Bases 3.5	13%	-17.4pp	low	PrizePicks 3.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $3,700 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Total Bases 4.5	12%	-17.8pp	low	PrizePicks 4.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $3,700 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Hits 2.5	10%	-19.9pp	low	PrizePicks 2.5
Recent form Mangum .413 over last 14 games (.301 season — hot) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $3,700 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	HR 0.5	5%	-13.8pp	low	PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $3,700 Play on DraftKings DFS →